Chance that Dog Day Afternoon would be on our Netflix queue: 75% (A classic 70s film that neither of us have seen? Pretty likely it would end up in the queue.)
x
Chance that any particular movie in our queue would be in our posession: 2.5% (Figuring 4 movies at a time / ~ 160 movies in queue.)
x
Chance that on a given date, we are watching a rented movie: 14% (We watch about one per week.)
x
Chance that a given Netflix DVD in our posession is chosen: 20% (Four movies would make 25%, adjusted downward for possibility of using local rental or movie in our collection.)
=
Chance that we happen to watch Dog Day Afternoon exactly 30 years after the bank robbery it depicts took place in Brooklyn: 0.05%
| Brooklyn
|